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U.S. Rare Coins Print E-mail
Since the beginning of recorded history 6,000 years ago coins, particularly those minted from gold and silver, have served as storehouses of financial value. Collecting specific coins (as opposed to just accumulating masses of coins) is a more modern phenomenon, dating back over five centuries. As collectors discovered that some coins were harder to find than others, the concept of "rare coins" arose. The law of supply and demand created a premium for these coins above their face value or the value of the precious metals they contained.

In our lifetime and those of our parents and grandparents, gold and silver have held their value while other forms of money have lost most of their purchasing power. Rare and historic coins have often outperformed even common gold and silver bullion during rising cycles.

In fact according to a article in the Wall Street Journal. Wealthy investors are gravitating toward the most popular and liquid investment coins: the $20 Double Eagles and Saint-Gaudens, each comprising nearly an ounce of gold; Morgan and Peace dollars pressed from slightly more than three-quarters of an ounce of silver; and Liberty Walking half-dollars that hold about a third of an ounce of silver.

Those coins, depending on preservation, rarity and other factors, range from a few hundred dollars to hundreds of thousands of dollars. In general, investors are building high-quality, investment-grade portfolios of various gold and silver coins for between $2,000 and $10,000 per coin -- up from just several hundred to a few thousand dollars a couple years ago. Unlike gold and silver, which investors often own only in paper form, investors hold coins directly, if only to be able to appreciate them as artwork-caliber engravings.


Why coins hold value
Every investment involves risk. Even cash in an FDIC-insured bank account is subject to the erosion of inflation. And even Fortune 500 companies such as Enron, WorldCom, Delphi, and four of the six legacy US airlines go bankrupt, leaving their stock and frequently their bonds virtually worthless. Short of bankruptcy, companies can and do issue additional shares of stock, diluting the shares already held by investors. Governments print money and inject it into the economy, diluting the value of cash; over the past three years the US dollar has dropped about 25% in value relative to a basket of other currencies, and about 60% relative to gold. Even many non-paper assets, such as mass produced collectibles are well, mass-produced. When the crazes ended for Cabbage Patch Kids and Pokemon figures, their essentially infinite supply tended to devalue them precipitously.

Some investors seeking to balance their portfolios with an asset class not subject to these types of risk are purchasing rare coins. Rare coins are totally immune from bankruptcy and close to immune from dilution. The US Mint will never manufacture another 1913 Liberty Head Nickel. And decades of enormous premiums have pulled almost all rare coins not held in collections into the marketplace. Even when a shipwreck or hoard is discovered, marketing based on the excitement reaches beyond the numismatic community to the public. That has increased the number of serious collectors and investors, so that over the years demand has grown at a greater rate than supply.

Coins are not pieces of paper given value only by promises from a government or the future prospects of a corporation. Coins have intrinsic value. Therefore they never lose all their value and they always retain the possibility of rebounding from a decrease in value. In fact, they always have, which explains why despite ups and downs in the market, rare coins are up 6,466% in 35 years. The first duty of fiduciaries is to protect assets. They should therefore view immunity from total loss and propensity to rebound as compelling strengths in an investment vehicle. So individual investors concerned with protecting and growing assets for themselves and their families should strongly consider rare US coins as an excellent hedge.

Dr. Raymond Lombra, Dean of Economics at Penn State University, conducted a study entitled Managing Portfolio Risk: An independent economic analysis of the investment performance of rare U.S. coins in diversified portfolios for the period January 1979 to December 2003. Dr. Lombra found that rare coins had a .35 correlation with stocks. (1.0 is perfect correlation, moving exactly in tandem with stocks and offering no true diversification; -1.0 is perfect inverse correlation, moving exactly opposite from stocks - not a good thing if you expect the long-term trend in stocks to be up.) US Treasury Bonds provided somewhat greater diversification from stocks than coins, at .11, but bonds dimmed and coins shined at protecting portfolios against inflation.

Rare coins protect against inflation
When Dr. Lombra studied correlation with inflation, he found that bonds are adversely impacted by inflation and coins, as one might expect, tend to rise during inflation. For the period 1979-1986, US Treasury Bonds’ correlation with inflation was -.71 (reflecting a huge loss); for 1987-2003 it was -.08. For the same periods, rare coins correlated .69 and .01; stocks correlated .16 and -.06.


COIN

YEAR 1995 Ask Price

YEAR 2000 Ask Price

YEAR 2008 Ask Price

% Increase

$5 Liberty Gold Motto –MS67
$6,600
$10,000
$16,000
242%
$20 Liberty II Type Gold –PR 61
$5,800
$7,800
$14,000
241%
$20 Liberty II Type Gold –PR 62
$8,000
$9,800
$17,000
212%
$20 Saint Gauden Gold –PR 65
$27,000
$34,000
$50,000
185%
1924D Buffalo Nickel-MS 66
$5,100
$6,900
$15,000
294%
1945P Mercury Dimes MS 64 PB
$675
$1,100
$2,400
355%
1945P Mercury Dimes MS 65 PB
$2,400
$4,820
$7,000
291%



*Pricing courtesy of the Coin Dealer Newsletter (Grey Sheet), December 2002 and June 2008.

*Past performance is not neccesarily indicative of future results. The coin market is subject to substantial fluctuations including significant and rapid increases and decreases in value from time to time. Investors must be able to assume the risk of such price fluctuations. During the period in which relatively accurate statistics have been maintained, many rare coins have shown an excellent record as appreciating assets. First National Bullion LLC. believes that rare coins are excellent long-term investments, but the future is never certain. The past performance of coins is a guide, not a prediction, of future events. First National Bullion LLC. is always prepared to assist you in selecting coins for your portfolio or collection. You understand, however, that the decision to purchase coins, and which coins to purchase, is ultimately yours alone.
 


Why it is safe to buy rare coins.

3rd Party Coin authentication and grading
Rare coins tend to appreciate, particularly in inflationary periods, and collectors and their heirs have realized fortunes on the sale of coins that had been held for decades. Until 20 years ago, however, investing in rare coins would have been a dicey proposition for most people. Investors who were not experienced numismatists would have had a difficult time distinguishing between authentic and counterfeit coins and between valuable specimens of a particular issue and coins that has been cleaned and polished to resemble them. Even among genuine, unaltered coins, they would have been unable to detect the fine distinctions that separate one grade from another - distinctions that can yield price differentials of hundreds, thousands, and even tens of thousands of dollars. Investors would have had to rely entirely on the expertise and integrity of their coin professionals.

The advent of third-party coin grading services in 1986 opened the way to safe investing in coins by non-numismatists. The grading services encapsulate the coins in tamper-evident transparent holders, known among numismatists as "slabs." Also encapsulated in each slab is a certificate of authenticity and a grade, such as "MS65," which means that on a scale of 1-70, with 70 meaning a perfectly minted and preserved coin, the coin rates a grade of 65. ("MS" stands for "Mint State" and designates the upper end of the grading scale, from 60 to 70.) Rare coins could now be bought and sold like shares of stock. One authenticated 1911 $5 U.S. Gold Indian graded MS65 by one of the respected grading services, such as NGC or PCGS, is considered to be the same as any other (although the most finicky collectors and investors hunt in person for "high-end" specimens within a grade). Every day thousands of rare coins are bought and sold "sight-unseen" through Internet auctions sites and television shopping channels. ("Sight-unseen" is the industry term for these sales; in fact retail Internet auction sites show photos of the coins, and TV shoppers see them displayed on their screens.)


Professional Coin Grading Service- PCGS
Industry leaders were deeply concerned that without standardized grading the rare coin industry could face major problems.

Over the course of many months of meetings, the blueprint for the Professional Coin Grading Service evolved. The advent of the third-party appraisal of a coin's physical condition, backed by a guarantee, and a national network of reputable coin dealers could provide an extremely reliable form of protection for rare coin consumers. PCGS would create a climate in which consumers could participate in the coin market with greater confidence. The concept would revolutionize the rare coin industry.

The Professional Coin Grading Service began serving the coin-buying public on February 3, 1986. The firm is responsible for dramatic improvements throughout the rare coin industry which have forever changed the way rare coins are bought and sold. In addition to standardized grading. PCGS offered cash-backed grading guaranteeproblem-free coinssafe long-term storage, and sight-unseen trading. Together, these elements have created unprecedented public support for the rare coin industry.

Since 1986, PCGS has graded over 16 million coins with a cumulative declared value of over 17 billion dollars.


Nusmismatic Guarantee Corporation-NGC
Founded in 1987, NGC has graded more than 10 million coins. They have rapidly grown to be the leading third party grading service in the world due to our reputation for consistent and accurate grading, and our affordable and flexible grading tier options. NGC's Customer Service team is recognized as being the industry's best. For these reasons, NGC grades more coins than any other grading service, and more of the world's finest coins.


Physical possession
Safe coin storage and transport
Rare coins do not pay interest or issue dividends. In that respect, they are similar to growth stocks: return on investment comes from buying low and selling high. Between purchase and sale, the coins must be transported and stored safely. Individual investors typically rely for storage on home safes, vaults or bank safe-deposit boxes.

Institutional and large individual investors can obtain greater levels of security, as well as personalized storage services, by availing themselves of the specialized custody services offered by a professional depository company, usually for reasonable fees. Such companies provide insured and highly secure storage of assets, holding them in their owner’s name and the off-balance sheet of the depository company itself. In addition to periodic inventory statements, some of these companies may even provide individual third-party transaction confirmations, which verify directly to the account owner every deposit, transfer, or withdrawal affecting each coin in the account, further enhancing the overall security offered by the depository.


Annonymity

Privacy has always been among our clients top concerns. With all the turmoil in the world, privacy seems more important than ever. Rare gold and silver coins are among the few remaining investments that you can legally accumulate and liquidate privately. Sales of Pre-1933 U.S. rare coins are non-reportable. However, the sale of modern bullion in amounts exceeding 25 ounces requires dealers to file a 1099-B with the I.R.S. reporting your profits at the time of the sale.


Instant Liquidity
Overall, rare U.S. Coins are often more liquid when compared to other investments like real estate, fine art, and other collectibles. Gold and silver coins encased in a holder and certified by one of the industry’s respected independent grading services, allow coins to be sold instantly around the world, via Computerized trading networks either with or without prior inspection.

The 2008 Numismatic Dealer Directory lists over 5,000 coin dealers nationwide. That’s 4,600 small to medium-size dealers in addition to the 400 major dealers addresses, phone & fax numbers, email and websites. Grading Services, Auction Houses, Wholesale Supplies, Gold Specialists, Bullion Dealers and much more are all included in the directory Annual US sales by these 5,000 dealers range from $200,000 to $20 million each, primarily in retail stores and at local conventions. Even after deducting for bullion and non-coin sales and sales on Internet auction sites, an average of $500,000 for each dealer is a conservative estimate.

Rare coins as collateral for loans
An investor with a pressing need for cash (for personal reasons to or to take advantage of an investment opportunity) can use rare coin holdings to meet that need - without selling the coins. That’s an advantage when the coins have not been held long enough to achieve the desired return on investment. Most investors will rarely or never use their coins to raise capital. Nevertheless, the fact that loans on rare coins are categorized as asset-based loans shows that while a financial institution’s investment department may be ignorant about or disparage rare coins (or both), its loan officers may view them as solid collateral.

Using numismatic coins, which have value beyond their metal content, as collateral for loans can generate funds for any legitimate purpose, including acquisition of additional coins. Loans on numismatic coins funded by traditional lenders are generally structured as term loans of six months or as revolving lines of credit. Loans secured by coins are usually viewed as asset-based loans. Most lenders require the borrower to deliver the coins to the lender. Most lenders will advance 50% to 75% of the wholesale value of the numismatic coins.

A borrower should verify where his coins are stored, how they are insured, and if they are stored separately under the borrower’s name. Borrowers should carefully review all charges involved in funding the loan to determine the total cost of borrowing including the interest rate and all fees, including any fees for origination, documentation, storage, service, administration, and/or sales. Before the funding of the loan, the retail borrower is entitled to receive a completed interest-rate disclosure reflecting the total APR including all fees and meeting the requirements of Federal Reserve Regulation Z.


Standardized pricing

The Coin Dealer Newsletter
Since 1963, the Coin Dealer Newsletter has been in the information business, selling current, accurate wholesale information on the Bid and Ask levels of U.S. coins and currency. The senior staff has over 100 years of numismatic experience, which enables proper market information. Dealers know that only in the Coin Dealer Newsletter can they find unbiased, accurate, current price information - information that they know is independent, because the Coin Dealer Newsletter staff neither buys nor sells coins, only information.

The Certified Coin Exchange
Since 1990, The Certified Coin Exchange (CCE) has been a key intermediary in US certified rare coin trading between major coin dealers in the United States. Currently there are over 100,000 bid and ask prices on CCE, and live trading occurs electronically between 12:00 and 5:00 Eastern Time. Bids/Asks are posted for PCGS, NGC, ANACS and ICG certified graded coins. There are over 150 Member Firms who have the capability to place bid/ask prices and to execute trades against these prices. Over 275 more Associate Members subscribe to view CCE prices and either trade based on these prices with other dealers, or propose transactions to the Member Firms who are posting these prices.


Summary
One thing is certain when it comes to the rare coin market, the only constant is change. Any move in the price of gold or in the inflation rate, or the long overdue correction in the stock market, or continued interest in the Statehood quarter program, could move the rare coin market in a big way. The market is a coiled spring. There is substantial potential for energetic growth. Looking at the trend from the mid-1970s, we see that the coin market is where it's supposed to be. We view the risk now as minimal. It does not appear that the rare coin market will be headed any lower, and given any external stimulus whatsoever, could easily make a strong upward move. Those patient investors with the wisdom to purchase near the bottom will be the ones who reap the reward at the top.

  • Not only is it safe to invest in rare coins, but that investing in rare coins will add true diversity to a portfolio. Rare coins tend to move independently of equities and have strongly negative correlation with inflation. The rare coin market is large and, particularly as a result of online trading of certified coins, liquid. Investors will be able to realize profits by selling their coins. As new collectors and investors enter the market, demand for the investment-quality rare coins increases, but the supply is essentially static. This is a classic formula for profit.
  • A number of well known people (and/or their estates) have made enormous profits from their investments in rare coins. The most successful investors have concentrated on acquiring coins of the highest quality available, and they have enjoyed a rate of return far above that of the rare coin indexes, let alone that of the stock market

    Wall street Journal articles Investors Flock to Coins
 
 
 

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